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  3. Inflation

Inflation

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  • George KG Offline
    George KG Offline
    George K
    wrote on last edited by
    #1

    "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

    The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

    Aqua LetiferA 1 Reply Last reply
    • George KG Offline
      George KG Offline
      George K
      wrote on last edited by
      #2

      image.jpeg

      image.jpeg

      "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

      The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

      1 Reply Last reply
      • taiwan_girlT Offline
        taiwan_girlT Offline
        taiwan_girl
        wrote on last edited by
        #3

        Economy in the US is going in the right direction. Inflation is going down, no recession so far, stock market almost at record highs, hundreds of thousands of manufacturing jobs added in last 12 months, etc.

        Now, of course, I do not give too much credit to President Biden. But there are others here (wink wink @Horace ) who are probably preparing their "Biden for President - 2024" lawn signs at the great job he has done.

        555

        George KG 1 Reply Last reply
        • Doctor PhibesD Offline
          Doctor PhibesD Offline
          Doctor Phibes
          wrote on last edited by
          #4

          The point should be that neither high inflation nor the recovery have much to do with Biden, however if you’re going go blame him for one, then you really need to give him credit for the other, and of course vice versa. Most people will only connect one of the two for obvious reasons

          I was only joking

          taiwan_girlT 1 Reply Last reply
          • CopperC Offline
            CopperC Offline
            Copper
            wrote on last edited by
            #5

            There is a great deal of virtue to be had by blaming both sides.

            But that virtue pales by comparison to the courage of the man who chooses a side.

            Doctor PhibesD 1 Reply Last reply
            • CopperC Copper

              There is a great deal of virtue to be had by blaming both sides.

              But that virtue pales by comparison to the courage of the man who chooses a side.

              Doctor PhibesD Offline
              Doctor PhibesD Offline
              Doctor Phibes
              wrote on last edited by Doctor Phibes
              #6

              @Copper said in Inflation:

              There is a great deal of virtue to be had by blaming both sides.

              But that virtue pales by comparison to the courage of the man who chooses a side.

              I wasn’t blaming anybody. Inflation happened because of Covid not because of either Donald Trump or Joe Biden.

              You think choosing a side is brave? Since almost everybody does it, I would humbly suggest that that is bollocks

              I was only joking

              1 Reply Last reply
              • Doctor PhibesD Doctor Phibes

                The point should be that neither high inflation nor the recovery have much to do with Biden, however if you’re going go blame him for one, then you really need to give him credit for the other, and of course vice versa. Most people will only connect one of the two for obvious reasons

                taiwan_girlT Offline
                taiwan_girlT Offline
                taiwan_girl
                wrote on last edited by
                #7

                @Doctor-Phibes said in Inflation:

                The point should be that neither high inflation nor the recovery have much to do with Biden, however if you’re going go blame him for one, then you really need to give him credit for the other, and of course vice versa. Most people will only connect one of the two for obvious reasons

                Exactly my point as I have beat the dead horse in previous postings. LOL

                Doctor PhibesD 1 Reply Last reply
                • taiwan_girlT taiwan_girl

                  @Doctor-Phibes said in Inflation:

                  The point should be that neither high inflation nor the recovery have much to do with Biden, however if you’re going go blame him for one, then you really need to give him credit for the other, and of course vice versa. Most people will only connect one of the two for obvious reasons

                  Exactly my point as I have beat the dead horse in previous postings. LOL

                  Doctor PhibesD Offline
                  Doctor PhibesD Offline
                  Doctor Phibes
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #8

                  @taiwan_girl said in Inflation:

                  @Doctor-Phibes said in Inflation:

                  The point should be that neither high inflation nor the recovery have much to do with Biden, however if you’re going go blame him for one, then you really need to give him credit for the other, and of course vice versa. Most people will only connect one of the two for obvious reasons

                  Exactly my point as I have beat the dead horse in previous postings. LOL

                  Choosing sides is more important. Find somebody to blame, and move on.

                  I was only joking

                  HoraceH 1 Reply Last reply
                  • Doctor PhibesD Doctor Phibes

                    @taiwan_girl said in Inflation:

                    @Doctor-Phibes said in Inflation:

                    The point should be that neither high inflation nor the recovery have much to do with Biden, however if you’re going go blame him for one, then you really need to give him credit for the other, and of course vice versa. Most people will only connect one of the two for obvious reasons

                    Exactly my point as I have beat the dead horse in previous postings. LOL

                    Choosing sides is more important. Find somebody to blame, and move on.

                    HoraceH Offline
                    HoraceH Offline
                    Horace
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #9

                    @Doctor-Phibes said in Inflation:

                    @taiwan_girl said in Inflation:

                    @Doctor-Phibes said in Inflation:

                    The point should be that neither high inflation nor the recovery have much to do with Biden, however if you’re going go blame him for one, then you really need to give him credit for the other, and of course vice versa. Most people will only connect one of the two for obvious reasons

                    Exactly my point as I have beat the dead horse in previous postings. LOL

                    Choosing sides is more important. Find somebody to blame, and move on.

                    We can all only aspire to be in the "both sides are bad" tribe. Such a high bar of careful thought required for that camp.

                    Education is extremely important.

                    Doctor PhibesD 1 Reply Last reply
                    • HoraceH Horace

                      @Doctor-Phibes said in Inflation:

                      @taiwan_girl said in Inflation:

                      @Doctor-Phibes said in Inflation:

                      The point should be that neither high inflation nor the recovery have much to do with Biden, however if you’re going go blame him for one, then you really need to give him credit for the other, and of course vice versa. Most people will only connect one of the two for obvious reasons

                      Exactly my point as I have beat the dead horse in previous postings. LOL

                      Choosing sides is more important. Find somebody to blame, and move on.

                      We can all only aspire to be in the "both sides are bad" tribe. Such a high bar of careful thought required for that camp.

                      Doctor PhibesD Offline
                      Doctor PhibesD Offline
                      Doctor Phibes
                      wrote on last edited by Doctor Phibes
                      #10

                      @Horace said in Inflation:

                      @Doctor-Phibes said in Inflation:

                      @taiwan_girl said in Inflation:

                      @Doctor-Phibes said in Inflation:

                      The point should be that neither high inflation nor the recovery have much to do with Biden, however if you’re going go blame him for one, then you really need to give him credit for the other, and of course vice versa. Most people will only connect one of the two for obvious reasons

                      Exactly my point as I have beat the dead horse in previous postings. LOL

                      Choosing sides is more important. Find somebody to blame, and move on.

                      We can all only aspire to be in the "both sides are bad" tribe. Such a high bar of careful thought required for that camp.

                      Oh FFS. All I said was neither President is to blame for inflation. And while I might not be as smart as you think you are, blaming one side for everything is just fucking stupid.

                      I was only joking

                      1 Reply Last reply
                      • taiwan_girlT taiwan_girl

                        Economy in the US is going in the right direction. Inflation is going down, no recession so far, stock market almost at record highs, hundreds of thousands of manufacturing jobs added in last 12 months, etc.

                        Now, of course, I do not give too much credit to President Biden. But there are others here (wink wink @Horace ) who are probably preparing their "Biden for President - 2024" lawn signs at the great job he has done.

                        555

                        George KG Offline
                        George KG Offline
                        George K
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #11

                        @taiwan_girl said in Inflation:

                        Inflation is going down,

                        No, the rate of inflation has decreased. It's not "going down." Prices are still higher.

                        no recession so far,

                        So far. Yes.

                        stock market almost at record highs,

                        As of today, the S&P 500 is still down about 9% from its peak.

                        Screenshot 2023-07-13 at 12.26.23 PM.png

                        hundreds of thousands of manufacturing jobs added in last 12 months, etc.

                        I don't know the numbers offhand, but isn't that a reflection of things returning to where they were pre-pandemic? Are those new jobs, or are they simply a return of the workforce to jobs that were already there?

                        "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

                        The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

                        Doctor PhibesD JollyJ 2 Replies Last reply
                        • George KG George K

                          @taiwan_girl said in Inflation:

                          Inflation is going down,

                          No, the rate of inflation has decreased. It's not "going down." Prices are still higher.

                          no recession so far,

                          So far. Yes.

                          stock market almost at record highs,

                          As of today, the S&P 500 is still down about 9% from its peak.

                          Screenshot 2023-07-13 at 12.26.23 PM.png

                          hundreds of thousands of manufacturing jobs added in last 12 months, etc.

                          I don't know the numbers offhand, but isn't that a reflection of things returning to where they were pre-pandemic? Are those new jobs, or are they simply a return of the workforce to jobs that were already there?

                          Doctor PhibesD Offline
                          Doctor PhibesD Offline
                          Doctor Phibes
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #12

                          @George-K said in Inflation:

                          @taiwan_girl said in Inflation:

                          Inflation is going down,

                          No, the rate of inflation has decreased. It's not "going down." Prices are still higher.

                          Have we ever had negative inflation?

                          Would we want it? Almost certainly not.

                          I was only joking

                          JollyJ 1 Reply Last reply
                          • 89th8 Offline
                            89th8 Offline
                            89th
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #13

                            I'm surprised Biden has embraced the term Bidenomics.

                            Guess everyone wants to be Reagan.

                            1 Reply Last reply
                            • Doctor PhibesD Doctor Phibes

                              @George-K said in Inflation:

                              @taiwan_girl said in Inflation:

                              Inflation is going down,

                              No, the rate of inflation has decreased. It's not "going down." Prices are still higher.

                              Have we ever had negative inflation?

                              Would we want it? Almost certainly not.

                              JollyJ Offline
                              JollyJ Offline
                              Jolly
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #14

                              @Doctor-Phibes said in Inflation:

                              @George-K said in Inflation:

                              @taiwan_girl said in Inflation:

                              Inflation is going down,

                              No, the rate of inflation has decreased. It's not "going down." Prices are still higher.

                              Have we ever had negative inflation?

                              Would we want it? Almost certainly not.

                              Yes.

                              “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                              Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                              1 Reply Last reply
                              • George KG George K

                                @taiwan_girl said in Inflation:

                                Inflation is going down,

                                No, the rate of inflation has decreased. It's not "going down." Prices are still higher.

                                no recession so far,

                                So far. Yes.

                                stock market almost at record highs,

                                As of today, the S&P 500 is still down about 9% from its peak.

                                Screenshot 2023-07-13 at 12.26.23 PM.png

                                hundreds of thousands of manufacturing jobs added in last 12 months, etc.

                                I don't know the numbers offhand, but isn't that a reflection of things returning to where they were pre-pandemic? Are those new jobs, or are they simply a return of the workforce to jobs that were already there?

                                JollyJ Offline
                                JollyJ Offline
                                Jolly
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #15

                                @George-K said in Inflation:

                                @taiwan_girl said in Inflation:

                                Inflation is going down,

                                No, the rate of inflation has decreased. It's not "going down." Prices are still higher.

                                no recession so far,

                                So far. Yes.

                                stock market almost at record highs,

                                As of today, the S&P 500 is still down about 9% from its peak.

                                Screenshot 2023-07-13 at 12.26.23 PM.png

                                hundreds of thousands of manufacturing jobs added in last 12 months, etc.

                                I don't know the numbers offhand, but isn't that a reflection of things returning to where they were pre-pandemic? Are those new jobs, or are they simply a return of the workforce to jobs that were already there?

                                I think there were more jobs, pre-pandemic. And I read the other day there are 100,000,000 Americans in the working age group that are not working or are underemployed.

                                “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                                Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                                1 Reply Last reply
                                • taiwan_girlT Offline
                                  taiwan_girlT Offline
                                  taiwan_girl
                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #16

                                  @George-K , you are correct, there is currently no deflation. Not sure if deflation is good, but 0% inflation maybe would be. LOL

                                  But definitely, inflation is trending downward and I expect it to flatten in the coming months at 2% or less.

                                  ![alt text](0f555e33-5094-4fd5-bccf-09d05df2d96e-image.png image url)https://graphics.axios.com/hermesv2/batches/2023-07-12-1211-annual-change-in/2023-07-12-1211-annual-change-in-chicago/fallbacks/2023-07-12-1211-annual-change-in-chicago-fallback.png

                                  (Fun fact, i read somewhere that up until about 150-200 years ago, there was (almost) no inflation. For example, things in 1600 cost the same amount as in 1200. This is based on UK where they have some records of the cost of things over time.)

                                  Below is the manufacturing jobs graph. Looks like it is return to where it was pre pandemic. But, at least it is going in the correct direction.
                                  alt text

                                  1 Reply Last reply
                                  • George KG Offline
                                    George KG Offline
                                    George K
                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #17

                                    The government has, traditionally been "OK" with an inflation rate of 2-3%, iirc. However, that "OK" is predicated upon a concurrent rise in income.

                                    That has not happened. I recall seeing a statistic that, in actual income, the average family is bringing home about $6K a year less.

                                    Now, take that $500 a month decrease in real income, and combine it with a mortgage rate that has climbed from 3% to 7%, and a lot of folks are going to be very unhappy.

                                    "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

                                    The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

                                    taiwan_girlT JollyJ 2 Replies Last reply
                                    • George KG George K

                                      The government has, traditionally been "OK" with an inflation rate of 2-3%, iirc. However, that "OK" is predicated upon a concurrent rise in income.

                                      That has not happened. I recall seeing a statistic that, in actual income, the average family is bringing home about $6K a year less.

                                      Now, take that $500 a month decrease in real income, and combine it with a mortgage rate that has climbed from 3% to 7%, and a lot of folks are going to be very unhappy.

                                      taiwan_girlT Offline
                                      taiwan_girlT Offline
                                      taiwan_girl
                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #18

                                      @George-K you always make me think!!!!

                                      Unfortunately I was unable to find data that includes today.

                                      Here is one graph that shows average income over the past 50 years

                                      alt text

                                      Could not get the picture to work, so a link to average hour salary

                                      Hourly salary adjusted for inflation since 1979

                                      1 Reply Last reply
                                      • George KG Offline
                                        George KG Offline
                                        George K
                                        wrote on last edited by
                                        #19

                                        Screenshot 2023-07-13 at 8.37.52 PM.png

                                        "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

                                        The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

                                        1 Reply Last reply
                                        • MikM Away
                                          MikM Away
                                          Mik
                                          wrote on last edited by
                                          #20

                                          We need inflation to a degree. We'll never pay off the debt otherwise.

                                          “I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill

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